AerCap Holdings Valuation

AER Stock  USD 151.37  0.05  0.03%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. AerCap Holdings NV shows a prevailing Real Value of $170.34 per share. The current price of the firm is $151.37. Our model approximates the value of AerCap Holdings NV from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.21, current valuation of 66.72 B, and Profit Margin of 0.44 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting AerCap Holdings' valuation include:
Price Book
1.3361
Enterprise Value
66.7 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
12.4908
Price Sales
3.0252
Forward PE
7.4405
Undervalued
Today
151.37
Please note that AerCap Holdings' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of AerCap Holdings NV is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing AerCap Holdings' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the AerCap stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of AerCap Holdings NV. Since AerCap Holdings is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of AerCap Stock. However, AerCap Holdings' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  151.37 Real  170.34 Target  160.56 Hype  151.79 Naive  155.29
The intrinsic value of AerCap Holdings' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence AerCap Holdings' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
136.23
Downside
170.34
Real Value
171.51
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of AerCap Holdings NV helps investors to forecast how AerCap stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of AerCap Holdings more accurately as focusing exclusively on AerCap Holdings' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
3.203.583.95
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
150.62151.79152.96
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.610.610.61
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
146.11160.56178.22
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use AerCap Holdings' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of AerCap Holdings' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against AerCap Holdings' closest peers.

AerCap Holdings Cash

1.01 Billion

AerCap Holdings Total Value Analysis

AerCap Holdings NV is presently forecasted to have company total value of 66.72 B with market capitalization of 25.76 B, debt of 43.57 B, and cash on hands of 1.38 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the AerCap Holdings fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
66.72 B
25.76 B
43.57 B
1.38 B

AerCap Holdings Investor Information

About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.34. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AerCap Holdings NV has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 21.31. The firm last dividend was issued on the 25th of February 2026. Based on the key indicators related to AerCap Holdings' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, AerCap Holdings NV is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great probability to report excellent financial results in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.340.5187
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities5.7 B5.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income4.5 B4.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

AerCap Holdings Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. AerCap Holdings has an asset utilization ratio of 11.43 percent. This connotes that the Company is making $0.11 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that AerCap Holdings NV is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

AerCap Holdings Profitability Analysis

Based on AerCap Holdings' profitability indicators, AerCap Holdings NV is yielding more profit at this time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess AerCap Holdings' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2005-03-31
Previous Quarter
1.2 B
Current Value
632.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
382 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, AerCap Holdings' Gross Profit is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/21/2026, Pretax Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.55, while Operating Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.34.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.410.5977
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.340.5187
Way Down
Slightly volatile
For AerCap Holdings profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of AerCap Holdings NV to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well AerCap Holdings utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between AerCap Holdings's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of AerCap Holdings over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

AerCap Holdings Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of AerCap Holdings is estimated to be 3.5806 with future projections ranging from a low of 3.2 to a high of 3.95. AerCap Holdings' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 21.31. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for AerCap Holdings NV is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
AerCap Holdings is projected to generate 3.5806 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2026. AerCap Holdings earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected AerCap Holdings EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on AerCap Holdings' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as AerCap Holdings, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

AerCap Holdings Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of AerCap Holdings' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of AerCap Holdings is estimated to be 3.5806 with the future projection ranging from a low of 3.2 to a high of 3.95. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for AerCap Holdings NV is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
3.20
Lowest
Expected EPS
3.5806
3.95
Highest

AerCap Holdings Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of AerCap Holdings' value are higher than the current market price of the AerCap Holdings stock. In this case, investors may conclude that AerCap Holdings is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and AerCap Holdings' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2026Current EPS (TTM)
975.97%
0.0
3.5806
21.31

AerCap Holdings Ownership Allocation

AerCap Holdings holds a total of 162.74 Million outstanding shares. The majority of AerCap Holdings NV outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in AerCap Holdings NV to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in AerCap Holdings. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of AerCap Holdings NV as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on December 10, 2025, Representative Michael McCaul of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of AerCap Holdings NV's common stock.

AerCap Holdings Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.19 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 3.75 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.22 B.

AerCap Holdings Past Distributions to stockholders

About AerCap Holdings Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines AerCap Holdings' current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of AerCap Holdings NV based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of AerCap Holdings. We calculate exposure to AerCap Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of AerCap Holdings's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit4.9 B5.1 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.53  0.55 
Operating Profit Margin 0.52  0.34 
Net Profit Margin 0.46  0.48 
Gross Profit Margin 0.60  0.41 

AerCap Holdings Quarterly Retained Earnings

16.32 Billion

AerCap Holdings' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether AerCap Holdings' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of AerCap Holdings can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of AerCap Holdings represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of AerCap, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

AerCap Holdings Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of 02/21/2026, Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to grow to 0.06, though Dividends Paid is likely to grow to (182.8 M). . At this time, AerCap Holdings' Retained Earnings are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/21/2026, Earnings Yield is likely to grow to 0.16, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 6.11.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-192.4 M-182.8 M
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.05  0.06 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.86  0.60 
There are various types of dividends AerCap Holdings can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of AerCap shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from AerCap Holdings NV directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When AerCap pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of AerCap Holdings by the value of the dividends paid out.

AerCap Holdings Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as AerCap Holdings does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding176.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.066
Forward Price Earnings7.4405

AerCap Holdings Current Valuation Indicators

AerCap Holdings' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final AerCap Holdings' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as AerCap Holdings, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use AerCap Holdings' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes AerCap Holdings' worth.

Additional Tools for AerCap Stock Analysis

When running AerCap Holdings' price analysis, check to measure AerCap Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AerCap Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of AerCap Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AerCap Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AerCap Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AerCap Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.